My prediction of why SSDs won't hit the mainstream market in time.
Published on January 2, 2012 By VistArtXPosed In PC Hardware
It's just a fact of life.  Whenever newer techonlogies come out, we like to think of them as "the next big thing".  However, since the trend for technological advances has been accelerating at an alarming rate, i'd like to point out that SSDs may soon become obsolete.  The reason?  The masses won't want to invest in PC's anymore.  They will all be migrating to tablets and smartphones, which have no drives for storage.  Those devices only have built-in internal flash memory (similar to SSDs I guess) except those devices can not be upgraded to a larger capacity SSD.  And this is just one reason why the promotion of SSDs will fail to hit the mainstream.  By studying tech trends, I have come up with reasons as to why this is.

-> Not enough stores are promoting SSDs:  If brick and mortar chains such as Wal-Mart or Best Buy started to promote and advertise SSDs and the benefits they have over hard drives, SSDs might have increased sales.  But there is one problem with that now, SSDs are still too expensive.  And the majority of Wal-Mart shoppers probably don't even know how to open their PC without breaking something inside.

->More PCs need eSATA ports for the inexperienced:  The majority of consumer PCs sold at Wal-Mart, Best Buy, and the like aren't equipped with eSATA ports.   And who in their right mind would run an SSD on USB 2.0?  You might as well run a hard drive if you're going that route.  If SSD makers decided to start reaching out to the mainstream market, they'll need to design somewhat larger and rougher, external SSDs that won't break if dropped, as the majority of typical soccer moms won't be opening up and fiddling around with the insides of a PC.  Connecting an SSD should be as easy as connecting an external hard drive.  And seeing how eSATA is only 3.0Gbps, they would only focus their simplicity on SATA II SSDs.  Casual tech users wouldn't need SATA III speeds.  And one more thing, make ALL SSDs bootable, whether internal or external.  After all, what good would an SSD be if you can't boot from it?

->The low capacities would turn-off consumers:   The inexperienced casual crowd wouldn't be able to tell much of a difference between a hard drive and solid-state drive, besides that an SSD is clearly smaller.  Most people do know about drive capacity size; that 500GB is bigger than 250GB.  Most people would not pay >$100 for a 60GB drive when they can get a 1000GB external hard drive for the same price, if not less.  And lets not even get to read/write speeds. 

->Integration with the Cloud would mean less localized storage:  This is clearly happening already.  As more people (casual and techies alike) are migrating to tablets & smartphones with syncing services, there will be less demand for localized storage, which includes SSDs.  And Cloud-Based storage is significantly cheaper than buying and installing an SSD (and having to either install an OS or restore from a drive image).  Five years from now only a small, niche market will still run PCs with localized storage.  I'm pretty sure that as the years go buy, Cloud-based storage will become even simpler and more secure than it is now.

->Even if SSDs become affordable, it will be too late:  The prices of SSDs are still going down, but they aren't down enough yet for retailers to put them on shelves.  I would say if SSDs hit brick and mortar chains right now, they would flop, mostly because of price.  Only a few techies here and there would actually invest in an SSD from a chain store.  Most of us (like me) would buy them online.  Whenever SSDs do become affordable, even if it's a year from now, it will be too late, because the demand for Tablets & Smartphones will skyrocket and those devices would become more affordable as well.  Casuals would rather spend $300 on a device that can surf the web, e-mail, and chat rather than $300 on a device that only provides local storage (albeit, SPEEDY local storage) and can't do anything else.  And seeing how most people today are so lazy, they won't even bother cracking open their PC box open.  Heck, they're probably too lazy to lug their machines (even if it's a laptop) to their local Best Buy to have an experienced tech install it for them.

And i'm not going to even talk about businesses and SSDs. I'm only focusing on consumers this time.


My predictions of SSD obsolesce may be premature, but it just seems so sad that only a few of us are experiencing what next-generation computing SHOULD be like.  Basically the same thing we're doing now, except a whole lot faster.   Only niche markets, such as gamers, power users, and tech enthusiasts are enjoying the brilliance and wonder that is a Solid State Drive.  I love SSDs and I have two of them now.  In fact, i'm running my PC on my Vertex 3 as I write this article.

My suggestion to you is that if you haven't done so already, and have the money to afford it, buy a Solid State Drive.  Not only because you'll have a much faster PC, but because you'll support the drive makers putting much effort into making such drives, and that increased sales will mean more competition.  And more competition will lead to newer, faster, and better technology.  It doesn't even have to be an expensive SSD.  Tell your friends and show off your new configs so they too will buy SSDs.  The age of the PC hard drive is over (for boot drives anyway), but the age of the PC should always live on!

Long live SSDs! 

Comments (Page 2)
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on Jan 05, 2012

No problem, Bryan. Unfortunately your CPU runs on the LGA775 socket, and there are no motherboards using it that have native SATA III support. That means the only options available to you would be to upgrade the CPU, mummyboard and probably the memory (not sure if LGA775 uses DDR2 or DDR3 memory, I suspect it's the former, though I could be wrong), or, buy something like the Crucial C300 128GB that I have so you're not severely limiting your read speed, or, get a latest generation SSD plus take a risk and buy a PCI-E expansion card that will give you SATA III.

If you need any more help, give me a shout.

on Jan 05, 2012

Hmmm.... don't like the sound of all that. Maybe it's time I built myself another new system. I built this about 3 years ago and it's still really good, can't fault it, but I think it's time i embarked on a new 'puter project. If I get stuck I'll give you a shout if that's ok?

Thanks Starcandy......

on Jan 05, 2012

Starcandy: If I just bought something like this http://www.novatech.co.uk/products/motherboardbundles/mbb-i5240a.html and a SSD drive, and then just threw it into my existing setup would that make a big improvement?

on Jan 05, 2012

For a desktop does it need to be a 3.5?

I hear you can get adapters for the 2.5.

on Jan 05, 2012

Starcandy: If I just bought something like this http://www.novatech.co.uk/products/motherboardbundles/mbb-i5240a.html and a SSD drive, and then just threw it into my existing setup would that make a big improvement?

The problem with that bundle is that the memory is by a no name manufacturer and it's of the generic flavour. Not that generic memory is bad. I'm using Crucial's generic no-frills memory, but that's because it has good reviews. No name and generic can sometimes add up to to cheap memory that could go faulty, and I'd rather avoid you having to deal with something like that.If you'd be happy with an i5 2400, a H67 chipset motherboard and some DDR3 memory I could have a look for them. Throw in an SSD and you should be laughing. Let me know a spend limit and I'll see what I can come up with. Oh, and if you could let me know if your computer case will support ATX boards or just Micro ATX (mATX) and what your power supply wattage is, that would be greatly appreciated.

RedneckDude
For a desktop does it need to be a 3.5?

I hear you can get adapters for the 2.5.

The majority of desktop SSD's are 2.5" anyway. If by adapters you mean a 3.5" to 2.5" bay converter, than yes you can. You'll probably have to get one if your case doesn't already have drive bays that support both. Have a look at these LINK

on Jan 05, 2012

Thanks Starcandy! That'll come in handy when I can afford an SSD.

 

I taked to a few sales people that tell me that the SSD I get will depend on my CPU, is this correct? I wouldn't think that would matter.

 

Also, both sales people I spoke to tried to sell me hybrids...

on Jan 05, 2012

No problem, Jim. As far as the sales people, you'd have to have a seriously crappy CPU for it to make any difference. I'm only running on a Phenom II dual core. I'm guessing they were confusing CPU with motherboard, and that's because of SATA III. Like Jorge stated, buying an SSD is the single biggest difference you can make to your computer. For many years, the hard drive was the bottleneck in pretty much all systems. SSD's changed that. Anyway, it's not uncommon for sales people in computer stores to know jack and shit about what they're selling, which is why they're sales people.

on Jan 05, 2012

Starcandy
For many years, the hard drive was the bottleneck in pretty much all systems.

Still can be...

7.5

7.5

7.9

7.9

6.9 - SSD

 

on Jan 05, 2012

yeah, paul, but you're still running sata II. and a small ssd at that. aren't you still running that 60 gig sandforce drive?

on Jan 06, 2012

Starcandy
No problem, Jim. As far as the sales people, you'd have to have a seriously crappy CPU for it to make any difference.

The guys asked me if I had an AMD or and Intel....that it makes a difference, I said I doubted it.

on Jan 06, 2012

RedneckDude
The guys asked me if I had an AMD or and Intel....that it makes a difference, I said I doubted it.

In the defense of the sales guys, most people are clueless as to what motherboard they have, but they usually know what kind of CPU. From the type of CPU they have, you roughly know what chipset their motherboard has... knowing the chipset, you know if it already supports SATA III or not. If it doesn't, they will recommend that you buy one of the cheaper SATA II SSDs instead of the newer SATA III - no sense in spending extra for something you won't benefit from anyway.

on Jan 06, 2012

Interesting discussion..........I've been toying with the idea of upgrading my laptop hard drive to an SSD. I was going to do some research this weekend but a lot of the questions that I was going to be asking myself have been answered in this thread. Thanks guys, really appreciate it. For those of you, like me, who live in the US - I'd have a close look at the supplier Newegg.com who are really good on prices and service. Here's a link to their SSD page that includes all the goodies/prices and a tutorial........... http://www.newegg.com/Store/Category.aspx?Category=119&name=SSD

on Jan 06, 2012

When upgrading your hard drives to an SSD and you are cloning the hard drive, don't forget about the partition alignment issue with SSDs!

on Jan 06, 2012

MadDeez
yeah, paul, but you're still running sata II. and a small ssd at that. aren't you still running that 60 gig sandforce drive?

Yes...a OCX SSD 60gig...time to update....considering Graphics is now a GTX590....

on Jan 06, 2012

Thanks JC.........something else I did not know 

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